Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.169024 0.195806 0.225462 0.260742 0.301578 0.347376 0.402661
2025-07-06 0.126155 0.161700 0.205182 0.262310 0.335460 0.426089 0.547087
2025-07-13 0.107434 0.147722 0.200532 0.274880 0.377007 0.512623 0.706867
2025-07-20 0.093688 0.136406 0.195643 0.283878 0.412231 0.592602 0.866231
2025-07-27 0.083269 0.127388 0.191624 0.292092 0.445686 0.672387 1.033891
2025-08-03 0.073675 0.117804 0.184911 0.294553 0.469789 0.740041 1.190678
2025-08-10 0.064625 0.107579 0.175539 0.291085 0.483392 0.792093 1.328272
2025-08-17 0.056006 0.096762 0.163648 0.281627 0.485479 0.825057 1.437553
2025-08-24 0.051686 0.092471 0.161745 0.288234 0.514622 0.905106 1.634889
2025-08-31 0.047081 0.087043 0.157148 0.289389 0.534048 0.970116 1.812835
2025-09-07 0.043519 0.083003 0.154425 0.293376 0.558670 1.046467 2.019627
2025-09-14 0.039063 0.076739 0.146900 0.287462 0.563972 1.087656 2.164485
2025-09-21 0.035493 0.071817 0.141458 0.285135 0.576358 1.144490 2.348659
2025-09-28 0.032783 0.068274 0.138277 0.286897 0.597070 1.219927 2.579755
2025-10-05 0.031625 0.067724 0.140908 0.300652 0.643602 1.351831 2.943040
2025-10-12 0.030159 0.066341 0.141656 0.310498 0.682989 1.473253 3.298541
2025-10-19 0.028732 0.064861 0.142010 0.319487 0.721472 1.596844 3.673525
2025-10-26 0.026898 0.062260 0.139652 0.322181 0.746256 1.693295 3.998838
2025-11-02 0.024738 0.058661 0.134693 0.318386 0.755790 1.756689 4.255092
2025-11-09 0.022327 0.054195 0.127284 0.308035 0.748801 1.781464 4.422386
2025-11-16 0.021338 0.053002 0.127287 0.315266 0.784537 1.909848 4.857327
2025-11-23 0.020046 0.050918 0.124954 0.316529 0.805794 2.005837 5.222892
2025-11-30 0.019046 0.049443 0.123923 0.320893 0.835252 2.124982 5.661849